Earlier this year, Canadian journalist Andrew Coyne — a veteran columnist for The Globe and Mail — published a searing assessment of the threat facing the United States. It wasn’t written for an American audience, but it has been resurfacing in recent weeks, shared by readers who recognize in it a warning that hasn’t lost its edge.
Coyne isn’t a familiar name to most in the U.S., but in Canada he’s known for fact-grounded, plainspoken political analysis — often critical, always unflinching. In this column, he looked south and described a nation returning to the hands of a man whose legal, moral, and ethical record would have ended any political career in a functioning democracy. He sketched out a first six months defined by rapid institutional capture: loyalists replacing civil servants, a judiciary too cowed or compromised to resist, and a governing climate where dissenters discover the law no longer protects them.
From there, he extended the lens outward. NATO without an American guarantee. Russia moving on the Baltics. China deciding Taiwan’s moment has come. At home, tariffs, deficits, and mass deportations bleeding resources and moral authority. It’s not a slow erosion. It’s a sprint toward authoritarian consolidation.
This was not an American partisan warning. It was an outside observer, in a neighboring democracy, recognizing patterns from history and calling them out before the wreckage was complete. Canadians have long assumed U.S. stability was a given. Coyne’s point was that it isn’t — and the fallout will not stop at the border.
Even if you dispute his projections, his core challenge stands: When you can see the structural supports of democracy being stripped away in plain sight, what do you do?
The temptation is to treat a column like this as commentary — one more sharp take in a noisy news cycle. But if even half of it proves accurate, the cost of treating it that way will be far greater than any of us can afford.